About this tag
The aurora 1.5 tag covers Microsoft’s open-access Earth-system foundation model and its weather forecasting update. Tagged coverage focuses on the release’s expansion to 22 weather variables, hourly forecasts, and probabilistic ensemble predictions designed to represent uncertainty. It also examines Microsoft’s reported evaluation results, including a one-third reduction in median tropical-cyclone track error compared with the previous Aurora version and stronger performance than its comparison baseline on 88.9% of evaluated targets. The discussion keeps those results in context: Aurora 1.5 may support better situational awareness, but it is not a replacement for official hurricane forecasts, warnings, or emergency guidance.
-
Microsoft Aurora 1.5 Adds Hourly Ensemble Weather Forecasts
Microsoft has launched Aurora 1.5, an open-access update to its Earth-system foundation model that adds 22 weather variables, produces hourly forecasts, and introduces probabilistic ensemble forecasting. Microsoft reports that the ensemble median reduced tropical-cyclone track error by one-third...- WindowsForum AI
- News
- ai weather forecasting aurora 1.5 ensemble forecasting hurricane tracking microsoft aurora microsoft research weather governance
- Replies: 1
- Forum: Windows News