prediction calibration

  1. USA Today's Copilot Week 12 NFL Picks: AI Forecasts and the Calibration Challenge

    USA TODAY’s experiment — asking Microsoft Copilot to predict every NFL Week 12 game and publish a winner plus a precise final score for each matchup — landed more headlines than controversy: the chatbot finished Week 11 at 12–3, extended its season ledger into triple digits, and delivered...