
The European Commission has opened formal market investigations into Microsoft Azure and Amazon Web Services under the Digital Markets Act (DMA), signalling a possible expansion of EU gatekeeper obligations into cloud infrastructure and setting the stage for a year-long regulatory review of whether hyperscale cloud providers should face stricter, ex‑ante controls.
Background / Overview
Cloud computing today underpins vast swathes of Europe’s digital economy: enterprise applications, national public‑sector services, critical communications and the compute backbone for generative AI. That systemic role is why Brussels is treating the issue as more than a conventional antitrust inquiry and is instead using the DMA’s investigatory and designation tools to assess whether the market structure and provider behaviour amount to “gatekeeper” power in practice. The Commission has launched two focused market investigations — one on Amazon Web Services (AWS) and one on Microsoft Azure — and a third, horizontal probe that will examine whether the DMA’s current toolbox is suited to address the particular competition frictions observed in cloud markets. The Commission expects to conclude those investigations within approximately 12 months. Why the DMA? The DMA is an ex‑ante regulation aimed at a defined set of “core platform services” and the firms that operate them when they reach specified thresholds. Gatekeepers designated under the DMA are subject to mandatory obligations — covering non‑discrimination, interoperability, data portability and bans on self‑preferencing — and face significant fines (up to 10% of global turnover for first breaches and up to 20% for repeat breaches). The question Brussels now faces is whether cloud infrastructure and managed platform services should be treated the same way as app stores, search engines or social networks.What the investigations will examine
Core lines of inquiry
The Commission’s announced probes will look at multiple dimensions where converging risk factors have attracted regulatory attention:- Market concentration and entry barriers: whether AWS and Azure’s scale and integrated feature sets create entrenched positions that impede rival competition and new entrants.
- Lock‑in mechanisms: contractual, technical and economic frictions — notably licensing arrangements, proprietary managed services and egress pricing — that increase the cost or complexity of switching providers.
- Preferential treatment and bundling: whether first‑party cloud offerings or platform services are favoured in ways that disadvantage independent software vendors or competing infrastructure providers.
- Technical interoperability and portability: the availability and real‑world effectiveness of migration tools, open interfaces and standard APIs that would enable rapid multi‑cloud failover or workload portability.
A third, procedural question: is the DMA fit for cloud?
Brussels is also probing whether the DMA’s enforcement model and obligations — originally designed for consumer‑facing platforms measured by end‑user metrics — map cleanly onto enterprise cloud markets, which use different metrics (contract value, business‑user accounts, infrastructure capacity) and operate under complex procurement and licensing regimes. That review could lead to either an adaptation of DMA tools or the design of targeted, sector‑specific remedies.Why regulators moved now: concentration, outages, and AI demand
A few converging facts have prompted the EU’s step:- Market concentration: independent analyses and national regulators have shown that hyperscalers command a very high share of cloud spending in many jurisdictions; the CMA’s UK investigation, for example, concluded that AWS and Microsoft each account for a substantial share of the market and flagged persistent structural barriers.
- High‑impact outages: recent control‑plane and global edge incidents at hyperscalers exposed the systemic fragility that can accompany such concentration — when DNS, global routing fabrics or managed databases fail, the cascading effects can be broad and sudden. Several investigative summaries tie those operational failures to the urgency of regulatory attention.
- AI’s compute hunger: generative AI has strengthened providers’ ability to bundle value‑added, hard‑to‑replicate managed AI stacks, specialised accelerators and tightly integrated data services, raising the stakes of vendor lock‑in and intensifying competition policy concerns.
How the DMA could change cloud markets — practical scenarios
The DMA provides a palette of ex‑ante obligations that, if applied to cloud services, could produce measurable changes in how hyperscalers operate and how customers procure cloud capacity.Possible compliance outcomes and their effects
- Interoperability and standard APIs: providers might be required to open or standardise control‑plane APIs for essential cloud primitives (identity, routing, storage formats). That would lower the technical barrier to multi‑cloud operations and portable failover. Implementation will be technically complex but could materially reduce single‑provider single‑point failures.
- Limits on self‑preferencing: bans on favouring first‑party managed services in marketplaces, procurement tooling or console UX could level playing fields for independent ISVs and cloud‑native startups. This would change commercial incentives and the economics of provider‑owned managed services.
- Data portability and egress reforms: regulators could cap or standardise egress pricing, require audited migration tooling with performance guarantees, and obligate clear contractual exit terms — measures that would reduce the economic cost of switching.
- Transparency, audits and reporting: gatekeeper obligations include auditability of ranking and resource allocation; analogues for cloud could compel providers to publish objective metrics for resource allocation, network prioritisation and internal routing decisions.
Strengths of potential EU action
- Addressing systemic risk: imposing portability, interoperability and greater transparency can materially reduce the chance that a single outage or lock‑in event cascades through European critical infrastructure.
- Countering AI-era lock‑in: rules that target bundle‑and‑bias practices will help prevent compute and data aggregation that would allow a small set of firms to dominate emerging AI value chains.
- Stimulating European industry: clearer portability and lower switching costs would create space for regional cloud providers and specialised entrants to compete on features and price, supporting the EU’s digital sovereignty agenda.
Risks, trade‑offs and unintended consequences
- Regulatory mismatch: the DMA was built around consumer‑facing platforms and end‑user metrics. Mapping those obligations onto infrastructure markets risks ill‑fitting rules that either don’t address the real harms or introduce operational contradictions. The Commission’s own work recognises this gap and has opened a parallel probe to test the DMA’s suitability.
- Investment chill: hyperscale cloud is capital‑intensive. Overly prescriptive ex‑ante constraints could deter investment in European data centres or specialised GPU/accelerator capacity — exactly the investments Europe seeks to attract to build sovereign compute. Industry stakeholders have consistently warned of this risk.
- Technical complexity and fragmentation: mandating standards and APIs without international coordination could fragment global cloud architectures, complicate global deployments and impair security architectures that rely on global threat intelligence and scale.
- Political and trade friction: designating non‑EU firms as gatekeepers for cloud could provoke diplomatic pushback and create transatlantic tensions, especially given the proportion of US firms among hyperscalers. Past DMA enforcement has already strained relations in some policy circles.
What the companies say and how they’ll likely respond
Both Microsoft and Amazon have signalled readiness to cooperate with regulatory inquiries, emphasising their commitment to competition and innovation while warning about the risks of ill‑targeted intervention. Public comments emphasise the benefits customers derive from scale, broad service portfolios and security investments that only large providers can afford. Likely corporate strategies in response to the probes will include:- Rapid evidence collection and submission of technical detail showing interoperability options and migration tooling.
- Highlighting investment commitments in Europe, including planned data‑centre expansions and AI compute infrastructure.
- Making targeted commercial concessions where risk‑mitigation is feasible (improved migration documentation, clarified egress terms), while litigating or lobbying against broad, prescriptive obligations.
Practical steps for enterprise customers
With regulatory uncertainty now heightened, enterprises should treat the Commission’s probes as a trigger for risk mitigation rather than as an immediate market overhaul.- Map dependencies: inventory critical workloads, identify which cloud primitives (identity, managed DBs, ingress/egress, CDN, identity) each workload requires and where those primitives are provider‑specific.
- Prioritise portability: invest in containerisation, adopt open formats and standard orchestration tooling, and test migration plans for high‑value workloads.
- Rigorously review contracts: assess exit clauses, egress pricing and SLAs; negotiate migration guarantees where possible and obtain clear escalation paths for major incidents.
- Stress‑test resilience: incorporate multi‑region and, where appropriate, multi‑cloud failover strategies for mission‑critical services and plan for manual fallbacks in essential operations.
The enforcement horizon and plausibility of designation
Designation as a gatekeeper under the DMA depends on quantitative thresholds (turnover and user metrics) and the Commission’s assessment of entrenched market positions. The DMA also contemplates the designation of specific core platform services; cloud infrastructure (IaaS/PaaS) is already listed among the types of CPS in the DMA’s definitions, though the Act’s thresholds were originally calibrated for consumer end‑user metrics. Regulatory options that the Commission can choose from include:- Using the DMA’s designation process to treat specific cloud services or providers as gatekeepers and imposing ex‑ante obligations.
- Opting for market‑specific remedies under competition law or sectoral measures that target discrete harms (egress fees, discriminatory licensing) without full DMA designation.
- Combining DMA‑style obligations with other legislative tools (Data Act, AI Act, or bespoke Cloud & AI legislation) to create a hybrid regulatory approach tailored to cloud markets.
What is verifiable today — and what is not
Verified facts as of the market opening announcement:- The European Commission opened two market investigations into AWS and Azure and a third probe exploring DMA fitness for cloud; the Commission aims to complete the inquiries within roughly 12 months. Reuters confirms the Commission’s actions and timeline and notes Microsoft will cooperate.
- The DMA permits fines up to 10% of global turnover for first breaches and up to 20% for repeat breaches; gatekeeper thresholds and CPS definitions are established in the DMA text. These legal parameters are publicly available on EU Commission and Parliament pages.
- The UK’s Competition and Markets Authority and Ofcom have previously highlighted concentration and switching barriers in cloud markets, creating a precedent for regulatory concern. Several prior CMA findings and statements are publicly posted.
- Early press accounts that attribute the Commission’s internal thinking to a single Bloomberg briefing should be treated as reported but not independently confirmed until the Commission publishes formal notices. Prior reporting threads have noted the Bloomberg source could not be located or independently verified at time of early summaries. This is a live investigatory story and anonymous sources may shape initial coverage; where reporting depends on such briefings, that dependency should be disclosed.
Institutional and geopolitical implications
Bringing cloud under DMA‑style ex‑ante control would be one of the most consequential moves in EU digital policy since the DMA’s adoption. It would not only reshape competitive dynamics within the EU but could also influence global cloud governance norms, create pressure for standard‑setting in interoperability, and intensify transatlantic engagement on digital trade and regulation.Policy‑makers must balance three imperatives:
- Protect contestability and resilience in a sector that now underpins critical infrastructure.
- Preserve incentives for large capital investments in data centres and specialised compute.
- Avoid creating technical or legal fragmentation that undermines global cloud interoperability.
Conclusion
The Commission’s decision to open market investigations into Azure and AWS under the DMA represents a defining moment for cloud governance in Europe. It reflects a recognition that cloud infrastructure is not merely a commodity input but a strategic layer whose concentration carries systemic, economic and geopolitical consequences. The probes will test both whether hyperscalers’ behaviour warrants gatekeeper obligations and whether the DMA — a landmark consumer‑platform law — can be adapted to enterprise infrastructure realities. For enterprises, regulators and cloud providers alike, the next 12 months will be decisive: expect technical evidence briefs, intense stakeholder engagement, and carefully calibrated proposals that attempt to reconcile resilience, competition and investment. Where precise outcomes remain uncertain, prudence dictates that businesses prepare now — by mapping dependencies, strengthening portability and revisiting contractual exit terms — while policy‑makers and technical communities work to design remedies that are both legally robust and technically practicable.(Reporting note: the Commission’s formal notices and the companies’ public submissions will be the definitive record for this inquiry; where press reporting relies on anonymous briefings, those points have been noted as provisional until corroborated by official documents.
Source: MLex Microsoft, Amazon cloud services face EU probe over gatekeeper rules (update*) | MLex | Specialist news and analysis on legal risk and regulation
