Global PC and Tablet Shipments: Growth Slowdown Insights for 2025

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Global PC and tablet shipments are projected to face a modest slowdown in growth, according to the latest forecasts from International Data Corporation (IDC). While the overall PC market is still set to expand, recent adjustments reflect challenges tied to macroeconomic conditions, tariff impacts, and evolving consumer demand—all factors that are influencing the Windows ecosystem and wider IT landscape.

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Global PC Shipments: A Slight Reduction in Growth​

IDC now expects global PC shipments to reach approximately 273 million units in 2025. Although this represents a 3.7% increase over 2024, it marks a slight reduction from previous forecasts. The tempered growth is attributed largely to two major factors:
  • Tariff Impacts and Price Hikes: U.S. tariffs on Chinese-manufactured components have driven up prices, ultimately affecting consumer demand in one of the world's largest PC markets.
  • Weaker Consumer Sentiment: A general decline in consumer spending is weighing on demand, prompting a shift in market dynamics.
These factors have forced IDC to revise expectations for the traditional PC market, with projections showing sub-1% annual growth from 2025 through 2029. This deceleration is anticipated to follow the stabilization that comes after the widespread migration to Windows 11.

Tablet Shipments: Signs of Consumer Saturation​

In parallel with PCs, the tablet market is facing its own set of challenges. IDC’s forecast for tablets indicates a slight contraction—shipments are expected to shrink by 0.8% in 2025, reaching around 143.3 million units. The decline is set to continue gradually, with projections dipping further to 141.6 million units by the end of 2029. The primary driver behind this trend is consumer saturation in the tablet segment, where growth has slowed and competition from other devices has taken its toll.

The Role of Windows 11 and Commercial Renewals​

Despite the overall modest growth figures, the commercial and educational segments remain a bright spot in the PC landscape. IDC’s research indicates that:
  • Commercial PC Volume: This segment, including Education PCs, grew by 2% in 2024 and is expected to be the major contributor to any upward movement in 2025. Renewals driven by large organizations and school districts will help counterbalance the softness in the consumer market.
  • Windows 11 Migration: As organizations complete their transition to Windows 11, the refreshed platforms are expected to drive new PC purchases. While some firms might opt for in-place upgrades or extend support for Windows 10 due to budget limitations, most are anticipated to embrace new hardware.
  • Emergence of AI Capabilities: Although initial uptake of AI-powered PCs has been slow, IDC forecasts a more robust GenAI ecosystem emerging by late 2025. This shift is likely to propel most new PC purchases to be AI-capable by 2026, adding a significant new dimension to the market.

Regional Insights: A Spotlight on Japan​

IDC also points out that Japan is poised to deliver double-digit growth this year. With enterprises and small-to-medium businesses rapidly replacing aging PCs ahead of Windows 10’s End of Service (set for October), Japan serves as a crucial market for absorbing some of the new PC capacity—helping to buoy overall global numbers even as other regions face headwinds.

Final Thoughts​

The revised forecasts from IDC paint a picture of a maturing—and in some cases, contracting—market in both the traditional PC and tablet segments. For Microsoft and Windows users, the slowed growth underscores the importance of commercial renewals, strategic Windows 11 refresh cycles, and the potential boost from emerging AI capabilities in future hardware.
As the market navigates challenging macroeconomic conditions and the lingering effects of tariff-induced pricing pressures, the focus for many in the enterprise IT arena will shift to securing efficient, future-ready devices. For consumers, the evolution of the PC and tablet landscape means carefully weighing feature upgrades against a backdrop of market stabilization.
In this evolving environment, staying informed and agile will be key for businesses and individual users alike as they chart their course in an increasingly complex digital marketplace.

Source: Eetasia.com https://www.eetasia.com/idc-reduces-pc-and-tablet-forecasts/
 

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