The ET Now segment advising investors how to build a Rs 2 crore retirement corpus distilled a familiar and powerful message: disciplined SIPs, sensible core-satellite fund selection and annual step‑ups can materially change long‑term outcomes — but the headline figures hinge on return assumptions and on avoiding concentration and timing risks.
Mutual fund SIPs remain one of the most accessible routes for Indian retail investors to build long-term wealth. The ET Now discussion (aired on ET Now Swadesh) walked through several real investor profiles and recommended a compact list of equity funds — index funds for cost-efficient core exposure plus active flexi‑cap, mid‑cap and small‑cap satellites — together with a practical rule: increase contributions over time (either by a fixed rupee amount or by a percentage step‑up) to harness compounding.
Across the scenarios presented, the expert used a nominal equity return assumption of roughly 12% per annum to model outcomes and compare different SIP strategies (flat SIP, fixed-rupee step-up, and percentage step-up). That assumption is explicitly material: small changes in assumed returns translate into very different required SIPs to hit a target corpus. Readers should treat the ET Now numerics as scenario‑based illustrations rather than guaranteed outcomes.
FV = P × [((1 + r)^n − 1) / r] × (1 + r)
For step‑up SIPs (a fixed annual percentage increase or a fixed rupee increase each year), the future value is the sum of the future values of each year's block of monthly SIPs, or computed by a growing annuity formula. ET Now used this standard approach to illustrate the difference between a flat SIP, a small fixed annual rupee step, and percentage step‑ups (e.g., 10% pa).
Two numerical points merit careful attention:
The ET Now expert’s core advice — discipline, diversification, cost awareness and the power of stepped contributions — is sound and actionable. But the numerical journey to Rs 2 crore is not a one‑size‑fits‑all guarantee; it is a function of your starting point, your willingness to step up contributions, and the real market returns that materialize over the next decade-plus. Model your assumptions, cap concentrated bets, and commit to a documented investment policy before making shifts based on broadcast headlines.
Source: ET Now Mutual Fund: Want Rs 2 crore for retirement? Top 9 funds recommended by expert
Background / Overview
Mutual fund SIPs remain one of the most accessible routes for Indian retail investors to build long-term wealth. The ET Now discussion (aired on ET Now Swadesh) walked through several real investor profiles and recommended a compact list of equity funds — index funds for cost-efficient core exposure plus active flexi‑cap, mid‑cap and small‑cap satellites — together with a practical rule: increase contributions over time (either by a fixed rupee amount or by a percentage step‑up) to harness compounding.Across the scenarios presented, the expert used a nominal equity return assumption of roughly 12% per annum to model outcomes and compare different SIP strategies (flat SIP, fixed-rupee step-up, and percentage step-up). That assumption is explicitly material: small changes in assumed returns translate into very different required SIPs to hit a target corpus. Readers should treat the ET Now numerics as scenario‑based illustrations rather than guaranteed outcomes.
What ET Now recommended — the practical gist
The show featured several investor queries and nine mutual funds that formed the most‑frequently recommended core or satellite choices. The recurring tactical themes were:- Keep a cost‑efficient index/large‑cap core (UTI Nifty 50 Index / DSP Nifty 50 Fund).
- Use flexi‑cap funds (e.g., Parag Parikh Flexi Cap) as a defensive active core with a wider investable universe.
- Add mid‑cap and small‑cap satellites to lift long‑term returns, but cap exposure and diversify across fund houses.
- Avoid concentrated thematic/sector bets for short horizons; choose diversified funds instead.
- Prefer direct plans to minimize expense‑ratio drag where the investor is comfortable managing investments.
- UTI Nifty 50 Index Fund, DSP Nifty 50 Fund, ICICI Prudential Large Cap Fund (large‑cap/index).
- Parag Parikh Flexi Cap Fund, HDFC Flexi Cap (flexi/multi‑cap core).
- Motilal Oswal Midcap Fund, Invesco India Midcap Fund (mid‑cap).
- HDFC Small Cap, Nippon India Small Cap, Quant/other small‑cap options (small‑cap satellites).
- ICICI Prudential Nifty Midcap 150 Index Fund (mid‑cap index exposure).
Case study summaries (as presented on air)
1) Age 46 investor — Rs 2 crore target in 14 years
Portfolio mentioned: UTI Nifty 50 Index Fund, UTI Nifty Next 50 Index Fund, Parag Parikh Flexi Cap, HDFC Small Cap, HDFC Flexi Cap, ICICI Pru Nifty Midcap 150 Index Fund. Current corpus stated as Rs 42 lakh; investor plans an additional Rs 20 lakh and has a 14‑year horizon. The expert concluded the investor is “well on track” and suggested a monthly top‑up of about Rs 34,000 (plus the planned Rs 20 lakh) to reach Rs 2 crore — with the caveat that switching the mid‑cap index fund to an active mid‑cap fund could improve returns.2) Lump‑sum investor — Rs 5 lakh for three years with power/IT theme
Expert view: three years is short for pure equity exposure; avoid sector/thematic funds for that horizon. Instead, stagger the Rs 5 lakh across diversified large & mid cap funds over 3–5 months (SIP or STP) to reduce timing risk. Recommended diversified funds included UTI Nifty 50 Fund, DSP Nifty 50 Fund, Invesco India Large & Mid Cap, Parag Parikh Flexi Cap.3) Chandrashekhar (age 45) — Rs 1.45 lakh/month SIP, small allocations to Gold/Silver ETF
Expert recommended limiting metals allocation to around 20% (as equities typically outperform long‑term), keeping 30–40% in large caps, 20% metals, and 20–30% mid/small caps. He suggested restricting the portfolio to 4–5 schemes across different houses. With the stated SIP and annual 10% step‑ups, the expert projected a potential corpus of Rs 5–7 crore in 15 years — again under the show’s modeling assumptions.4) Investor with Parag Parikh Flexi Cap, Motilal Oswal Midcap, Tata Small Cap, HDFC Flexi Cap — target Rs 3 crore in 15 years
Expert advised adding a Rs 20,000 SIP into a large‑cap/index fund (DSP Nifty 50 / UTI Nifty 50 / ICICI Prudential Large Cap) to strengthen the core, keep SIPs running in mid & small cap for rupee‑cost averaging, and avoid redemptions because underperformance in mid/small cap pockets can be temporary. He estimated a required total monthly investment of about Rs 65,000 to reach Rs 3 crore in 15 years.Verifying the math — how SIPs and step‑ups actually compound
The future value of a constant monthly SIP is a standard annuity problem. The simplified future‑value formula for a constant monthly SIP P at a monthly rate r over n months is:FV = P × [((1 + r)^n − 1) / r] × (1 + r)
For step‑up SIPs (a fixed annual percentage increase or a fixed rupee increase each year), the future value is the sum of the future values of each year's block of monthly SIPs, or computed by a growing annuity formula. ET Now used this standard approach to illustrate the difference between a flat SIP, a small fixed annual rupee step, and percentage step‑ups (e.g., 10% pa).
Two numerical points merit careful attention:
- The ET Now episodes and the write‑up consistently model scenarios assuming ~12% annual returns on the equity portion. That figure is assumed, not guaranteed; if realized returns are lower (say 8–10%), required SIPs to hit the same target rise materially.
- The show’s example arithmetic contains apparent inconsistencies if you plug the standard formula with the stated inputs. For example, a current corpus of Rs 42 lakh left invested at 12% p.a. for 14 years compounds to roughly:
- Growth factor ≈ (1.12)^14 ≈ 4.886 → future value ≈ 42 lakh × 4.886 ≈ Rs 2.05 crore.
That means, strictly speaking, the current corpus alone — at a 12% return and with no further contributions — would cross the Rs 2 crore target in 14 years. This does not match the suggested requirement of adding Rs 34,000/month in addition to a planned Rs 20 lakh lump‑sum. Practically, this discrepancy signals either: - The show applied different return assumptions for that investor (lower than 12%), or
- The Rs 42 lakh figure represents the total invested history but not the current equity allocation expected to return 12%, or
- A miscommunication or rounding in the on‑air arithmetic.
Strengths of the ET Now recommendations
- Practical core‑satellite approach. Combining low‑cost index/large cap funds for the core and active flexi/mid/small cap funds as satellites is a well‑established, risk‑managed way to chase higher long‑term returns while controlling cost and concentration risk.
- Emphasis on step‑ups and discipline. The segment correctly highlights two levers investors control: contribution size and contribution growth. A modest annual step‑up compounds powerfully over a decade-plus horizon. The math is straightforward and reinforced by multiple independent SIP calculators.
- Risk controls (allocation caps and limiting scheme count). Recommending a cap (20%) for small‑cap exposure and keeping 4–5 schemes avoids over‑diversification and manager/house concentration. That guidance is actionable for retail investors.
- Pragmatic tactical advice for lumps and short horizons. Recommending STP/SIP for lump sums and avoiding sectoral/thematic funds for three‑year horizons is prudent risk management.
Important risks and caveats — what the expert didn’t (or couldn’t) guarantee
- Return assumption sensitivity. The entire “how‑much you need” calculus is extremely sensitive to the assumed CAGR. A 2–3 percentage point difference compounded over 10–15 years can change required monthly contributions by tens of thousands of rupees. The ET Now pieces used a 12% assumption repeatedly; investors should test conservative (8–10%) and optimistic (12–15%) scenarios.
- Sequence‑of‑returns and timing risk for short horizons. If a large portion of the planned corpus must be withdrawn within a few years after a market peak, losses can be crystallized. That’s why the show advised against thematic bets for short horizons and suggested capping metals and small caps.
- Fund selection risk within categories. Not all mid‑cap or small‑cap funds behave the same. Active funds can materially outperform or underperform their peers and indices over multi‑year windows. The show suggested switching from an index midcap to an active midcap in one case — a move that increases manager risk and requires conviction. Independent fund‑level checks are necessary before switching.
- Behavioral risk. Step‑up SIPs are only effective if investors actually increase contributions. Economic shocks, job changes or liquidity needs can derail a plan. The show’s numerical illustrations are helpful only when paired with a realistic plan for step‑ups and emergency liquidity.
- Reporting/communication clarity. As noted above, some on‑air arithmetic appears inconsistent with the stated inputs and assumptions. That underlines a broader risk of acting on broadcast soundbites without running personalized calculations.
How a reader should use the ET Now guidance — a practical checklist
- Model your exact starting point.
- Enter your current corpus, current allocation (equity vs debt), planned lumps and planned monthly SIP into a step‑up SIP calculator or spreadsheet.
- Run scenarios with assumed annual returns of 8%, 10%, 12% and 15% so you see the range of possible outcomes.
- Choose a compact core.
- Select one low‑cost index or large‑cap fund and one flexi/multi‑cap as the core. Keep the core roughly 50–70% of the equity allocation to reduce idiosyncratic risk.
- Use satellites selectively.
- Add mid‑cap and small‑cap active funds as satellites but cap small‑cap exposure to ~20% of equities and mid‑cap to 20–30% depending on risk appetite. Diversify satellites across fund houses.
- Prefer direct plans where practical.
- If you’re comfortable managing investments yourself, choose direct plans to avoid distribution-related expense drag. For investors using advisers, balance convenience with cost.
- Automate step‑ups and reviews.
- Automate a modest annual percentage step‑up (5–10% pa) tied to salary growth. Review allocations and performance annually, not monthly.
- Use STP for lumps.
- Systematic Transfer Plans into equities reduce timing risk for lump sums and keep discipline when deploying sizeable cash.
- Keep an emergency fund and tax plan.
- Maintain 6–12 months of living expenses outside the equity portfolio and optimize for tax‑efficient options (e.g., ELSS) only when appropriate.
Fund‑level due diligence: signals to check before you switch or start
- Track record over multiple market cycles (5‑, 7‑, 10‑year rolling returns) rather than short spiky outperformance.
- Expense ratio and direct vs regular plan impact on returns.
- Portfolio overlap (if you already hold two flexi/multi‑cap funds, check stock overlap).
- AUM and liquidity in small‑cap funds (very large AUMs can constrain a small‑cap manager’s flexibility; very small AUMs can raise liquidity concerns).
- Manager tenure and track record within the same mandate.
Quick numerical sanity checks (worked examples)
- If you start with Rs 42 lakh and assume 12% p.a. for 14 years, the corpus evolves approximately:
- (1.12)^14 ≈ 4.886 → 42 lakh × 4.886 ≈ Rs 2.05 crore.
- Interpretation: at 12% p.a., the existing corpus alone would cross Rs 2 crore without additional monthly SIPs. If the ET Now narrative added a required SIP of Rs 34,000/month, this implies a different underlying assumption or a different interpretation of the Rs 42 lakh figure (e.g., part of it is in non‑equity instruments, or the assumed return for that corpus was lower). Always reconcile the precise assumptions before acting.
- If you instead assume 10% p.a. for 14 years:
- (1.10)^14 ≈ 3.797 → 42 lakh × 3.797 ≈ Rs 1.59 crore.
- Shortfall to Rs 2 crore ≈ Rs 41 lakh → required additional monthly SIP depends on assumed SIP growth and duration; step‑up SIPs significantly reduce the fixed monthly SIP required. This shows why assumption choice matters.
Bottom line — what investors should take away
The ET Now recommendations are a useful, disciplined template: build a low‑cost core (index/large cap), add a flexi‑cap active core, and use mid and small‑cap satellites for growth while capping exposure. Step‑up SIPs amplify compounding and are a practical way to turn modest current contributions into a larger future corpus. However, the numerical headlines depend heavily on assumed returns and on the precise interpretation of current corpus and planned lumps. Listeners should treat the episode as a scenario set and perform their own modeling with conservative and optimistic return assumptions before altering portfolios.Action plan for readers who want to follow this guidance today
- Recreate your exact inputs (current corpus, equity allocation, planned lumps, monthly SIPs).
- Run three scenarios (8%, 10%, 12% p.a.) with and without a 5–10% annual step‑up.
- Decide on a compact core (index + flexi‑cap) and 1–2 satellites (one mid, one small) — no more than 4–5 schemes total.
- Prefer direct plans if you can manage them; otherwise compare expense ratios closely.
- Automate a modest annual step‑up or schedule a yearly manual increase tied to salary increments.
- Maintain liquidity and an emergency corpus; use STP for lump sum deployment.
- Reassess annually and rebalance back to target weights if drift occurs.
The ET Now expert’s core advice — discipline, diversification, cost awareness and the power of stepped contributions — is sound and actionable. But the numerical journey to Rs 2 crore is not a one‑size‑fits‑all guarantee; it is a function of your starting point, your willingness to step up contributions, and the real market returns that materialize over the next decade-plus. Model your assumptions, cap concentrated bets, and commit to a documented investment policy before making shifts based on broadcast headlines.
Source: ET Now Mutual Fund: Want Rs 2 crore for retirement? Top 9 funds recommended by expert