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Russia is aware it is not winning the war in Ukraine: Brookings senior fellow In a recent discussion on CNBC's 'Squawk Box', Michael O'Hanlon from the Brookings Institution shared crucial insights regarding the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. His comments come at a significant time—20 days into the war—raising the need for a serious peace plan centered on Ukrainian neutrality. O'Hanlon emphasized a concerning recent development: Russia's missile attacks near the Polish border, suggesting a lack of hope for immediate peaceful resolutions. He noted that these actions stem from Russia's realization of its current position in the war. Key Takeaways from O'Hanlon's Analysis: - Understanding Russia's Awareness: O'Hanlon pointed out that Russia recognizes it is losing the battle. This stark admission adds a layer of complexity to the conflict, particularly the implications of Western military support for Ukraine. - Reassessment of Objectives: The Brookings senior fellow likened Putin's overconfidence to the misjudgments witnessed during the 2003 invasion of Iraq. He speculated whether Putin is re-evaluating what minimal objectives would suffice to stabilize the conflict and alleviate the increasing economic sanctions from the West. - The Role of Ukrainian Resistance: O'Hanlon acknowledged the significant impact of the Ukrainian military's resistance, suggesting it has forced Russia to reconsider its strategy, as the situation becomes less favorable for Moscow. - Potential for Negotiation: He proposed that if Putin is rational, he might see guaranteeing Ukrainian neutrality as a viable exit strategy. This proposition brings into question the political ramifications and face-saving techniques that Putin would need to navigate after being publicly confronted with his miscalculations. - Implications for Future Relations: A key aspect of the conversation focused on whether any negotiation would alter business relations with Russia post-conflict. "How do we go back to doing business with him?" was highlighted as a tough question to face considering the atrocities committed throughout the war. Relevance for the Windows Community: For users of WindowsForum.com, who engage in global discussions, this analysis sheds light on the strategic realities that may evolve in geopolitical matters. The outcome of this conflict could significantly impact global markets and international relations, potentially influencing technology sectors and investments—topics that are often hot in discussions among tech enthusiasts and industry professionals alike. O'Hanlon's perspective underscores the necessity of assessing how political tensions affect technological advancements and the market landscape, urging a deeper understanding of world events that could echo through industries connected to software and hardware development. For those looking to explore this fascinating dialogue further, the full discussion can be viewed on YouTube here.