Windows Weekly Episode 914: 2025 Predictions and Tech Shifts

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Episode 914 of Windows Weekly, humorously titled "Something Weird From the Closet," delivers a fascinating peek into the Microsoft world and adjacent tech developments as we embrace the beginning of 2025. If you're not caught up, don’t sweat it—I’m here to break down the juiciest bits from the episode and dive into the broader implications for Windows enthusiasts and beyond. From the so-called "Year of the Windows 11 PC Refresh" to Qualcomm's surprise legal victory, and Microsoft's relentless march into AI dominance, there's plenty to digest. Let’s cut through the noise and pinpoint what all this means for you, the Windows user.

The Year of the Windows 11 PC Refresh: A Lofty Prediction?​

The hosts—Leo Laporte, Richard Campbell, and Paul Thurrott—dubbed 2025 "the Year of the Windows 11 PC Refresh." Why? Because Windows 10 is officially marching toward its End-of-Life (EOL) in October 2025, leaving a massive gap that Microsoft hopes to plug with a Windows 11 upgrade frenzy. The idea is that older hardware will become incompatible with Windows 11, while new devices—backed by bleeding-edge AI enhancements—will flood the market. Sounds promising, right?
But here’s the rub: Windows 10 holds a whopping 63% market share, whereas Windows 7, at the same point in its lifecycle, had only 25%. This suggests that users are digging in their heels, unwilling or unready to pivot to Windows 11. Is Microsoft’s dream of a massive hardware refresh really plausible, or is this a tech-industry spin akin to the ever-elusive “Year of the Linux Desktop”? Time will tell.

Why It Matters for Users:​

  • Compatibility Concerns: Microsoft’s stricter hardware requirements for Windows 11 leave many older devices out of the upgrade pipeline.
  • Security Push: With cybersecurity threats escalating, older, unsupported devices running Windows 10 will become increasingly vulnerable post-2025.
  • Sneaky Workarounds: Users with virtual machines (VMs) or custom-built desktops may want to explore cheap upgrade options for Windows 11 licensing—legit deals are reportedly around $30.

Qualcomm vs. Arm: An Unexpected Power Shift in the Chip Wars​

In a David vs. Goliath twist, Qualcomm emerged victorious in its legal battle with Arm Holdings over licensing rights. For anyone keeping tabs on the Arm ecosystem, this isn’t just a legal dispute; it’s a tectonic shift in a landscape dominated by a few key players. Qualcomm's win clears the way for a more diverse, competitive future for Arm-powered PCs—something Intel and AMD should keep a nervous eye on.

Key Developments:​

  • Qualcomm’s Snapdragon X chips continue to evolve for ultra-thin laptops and small-form-factor (SFF) desktops.
  • Nvidia and MediaTek announced a blockbuster partnership to bring Arm chips to PCs, signaling a shifting market reliant less on traditional architectures.
  • Handheld gaming systems could see a boom in Arm-powered designs, which leads us seamlessly into the next segment...

Broader Implications:​

With Arm’s ubiquity in mobile devices, this court case and its fallout could catalyze an explosion of Arm-powered Windows devices—laptops, handheld PCs, and beyond. For users, this means lighter, more power-efficient tech, even if it’s a departure from the x86 architecture they’re used to.

Microsoft and AI: Power Plays and Big Spending​

Microsoft’s bet on AI isn’t just ambitious—it’s downright astronomical. The company committed $80 billion to AI infrastructure in fiscal year 2025, signaling its intention to remain a global leader in artificial intelligence. But there’s more: Microsoft appears to be moving away from solely relying on OpenAI for its AI services like Copilot, possibly to hedge its bets or save costs.

AI Creeps Closer to Your Desktop​

Microsoft 365 Copilot—AI integrated into familiar Office apps—could fundamentally change how we work. While the exact cost structure remains unclear, it looks like AI features will increasingly shift to a subscription model. How practical (or expensive) this becomes remains to be seen.

For the End User:​

  • AI Everywhere: Expect AI capabilities to make even mundane tasks, like sorting Excel spreadsheets, smarter and savvier.
  • Budget Concerns: Keep an eye on price hikes, as AI doesn't come cheap. Microsoft 365 subscriptions are already inching upward to cover these investments.
Microsoft is banking on AI to be the next "killer app" for Windows. Whether it turns out to be a transformative productivity boon or just a flashy (but expensive) add-on remains to be seen.

Gaming Corner: Xbox Wants Windows to Feel More Like a Console​

Microsoft is blurring the line between Windows PCs and Xbox consoles, especially when it comes to handheld gaming. Speculation about future waves of gaming PCs, potentially even running SteamOS as a dual-boot option alongside Windows, has gamers on high alert. Not to mention, rumors circulate that Microsoft’s gaming arm is investing heavily in Arm-based handheld devices.
Another intriguing tidbit is the mention of Xbox integration into LG Smart TVs. While niche, this move could change the landscape for casual gaming, making the Xbox ecosystem more pervasive.

Takeaways and Optimization Tips​

If you’re a Windows user, this slew of updates represents both opportunities and challenges. Here’s a quick action plan for staying ahead of the curve:
  1. Upgrade Smartly: If you’re still hanging onto Windows 10, start exploring your upgrade path to Windows 11. If a new PC isn’t viable, keep an eye out for affordable upgrade licenses.
  2. Consider the Competition: With AMD and Qualcomm spurring innovation, especially in the AI and Arm spaces, 2025 might be the perfect year to embrace new architectures and leave aging hardware behind.
  3. Embrace AI but Budget Wisely: Microsoft’s AI integration looks promising, but take note of potential subscription price increases to avoid sticker shock later.
  4. Stay Updated on Security Patches: With Windows 10 nearing EOL, security will become an even bigger concern. Keep systems fully updated or start planning for that eventual leap to Windows 11.

In the Comments: Your Thoughts?​

What do you think about the “Year of the Windows 11 PC Refresh”? Are Qualcomm and Arm's “chip wars” the beginning of a PC revolution, or just industry posturing? Let us know below!
With 2025 shaping up to be a pivotal year for Windows and the broader tech industry, there's no better time to stay vigilant—and perhaps start shopping for upgrades. See you in the forums!

Source: Thurrott.com Windows Weekly 914: Something Weird From the Closet
 


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