The thread begins with a brief post by whoosh from August 2018, though its content isn’t detailed here. The main discussion from September 2024 centers on a media analysis featuring a Watergate lawyer drawing parallels between the Watergate scandal and the ongoing investigation into Donald Trump. The conversation highlights historical similarities, especially the concept of needing undeniable evidence ("smoking gun") to shift Republican support, and emphasizes lessons from history regarding accountability and political loyalty amidst investigations. Overall, the thread explores whether current evidence might impact Republican support for Trump, reflecting on historical patterns of political behavior during crises.