The accelerating momentum behind Microsoft Azure in the cloud computing arms race has become one of the more remarkable plot twists of 2025. A few short years ago, most analysts would have pegged Amazon Web Services (AWS) as the unassailable leader, with Google Cloud Platform the perennial—but distant—third contender. Yet, recent research and industry data now suggest Azure is powering ahead, not just closing the gap with AWS but, in several crucial respects, “smoking” both AWS and Google Cloud. Why is this happening, and what does it mean for customers, investors, and the future of cloud infrastructure?
To anchor the discussion in verifiable data, let’s consider revenue. According to Microsoft’s most recent earnings report (Q3 FY25), Azure and other cloud services revenue increased by 33% year over year, outpacing AWS’s growth rate of approximately 17% published in Amazon’s Q1 2025 results. Google Cloud grew by roughly 28% in the same period, but still lags far behind Azure and AWS in absolute size.
Analyst reports from UBS and other industry watchers highlight that this isn’t a fleeting trend, but a sustained, broad-based acceleration in Azure adoption, particularly among large enterprise and government customers. UBS’s research identifies several potential drivers—some technical, some strategic, and others tightly intertwined with the larger enterprise software ecosystem.
Correction (May 5, 2025): This article was updated to correct an error in the earnings reference. The original article incorrectly cited Q3 FY24 and a 31% growth rate. The accurate reference is Q3 FY25, with Azure and other cloud services revenue growing by 33% year over year. We regret the error.
Source: Sherwood News Why is Azure smoking AWS and Google Cloud? UBS has some theories.
Microsoft Earnings Report: Q3 FY25 Earnings
Azure’s Surge: Hard Numbers and Fresh Momentum
To anchor the discussion in verifiable data, let’s consider revenue. According to Microsoft’s most recent earnings report (Q3 FY25), Azure and other cloud services revenue increased by 33% year over year, outpacing AWS’s growth rate of approximately 17% published in Amazon’s Q1 2025 results. Google Cloud grew by roughly 28% in the same period, but still lags far behind Azure and AWS in absolute size.
Analyst reports from UBS and other industry watchers highlight that this isn’t a fleeting trend, but a sustained, broad-based acceleration in Azure adoption, particularly among large enterprise and government customers. UBS’s research identifies several potential drivers—some technical, some strategic, and others tightly intertwined with the larger enterprise software ecosystem.
Intertwined Ecosystems: Azure’s Deep Integration Advantage
Azure’s edge is largely rooted in its integration within the broader Microsoft ecosystem. Enterprises already using Microsoft 365, Teams, Dynamics, and other services find Azure a natural extension of their IT stack. This creates a “stickiness effect,” reducing friction for cloud migration and amplifying value across services.Licensing Leverage and Strategic Upsell
Microsoft’s licensing benefits—like Azure Hybrid Benefit—allow companies to repurpose existing Windows Server and SQL Server licenses in the cloud. These incentives, combined with integrated billing and familiar tooling, make Azure more cost-effective. Critics have noted, however, that this bundling is under scrutiny by the EU over antitrust concerns.AI as a Growth Multiplier: The OpenAI Factor
If 2023 was the year generative AI took center stage, 2024 and 2025 are shaping up to be the years AI transforms cloud economics. Azure’s integration with OpenAI models and services like Copilot have become a major draw for enterprise buyers. Microsoft reports that roughly one-third of new Azure deals explicitly cite AI capabilities as a key decision factor.Developer Tools and Data Gravity
Microsoft’s ownership of GitHub and tools like Visual Studio deeply embeds Azure in the developer workflow. Once a company’s code and data reside in Azure, workloads naturally gravitate there as well—a phenomenon known as data gravity.Multi-Cloud and Hybrid Cloud: Meeting Reality, Not Hype
While multi-cloud remains a strategic talking point, most enterprises operate hybrid setups. Azure leads in this space with tools like Azure Arc, allowing consistent management across on-premises and other cloud environments.Enterprise Trust and Compliance
Azure’s regional presence and regulatory compliance capabilities give it an edge, especially in industries like healthcare, finance, and government. With over 60 Azure regions, Microsoft has the largest global footprint among cloud providers.Risks, Uncertainties, and Criticisms
Azure’s rapid rise isn’t without friction. Technical outages, billing complexity, and the perception of lock-in have sparked concern. Additionally, its current AI-driven momentum may be challenged if AI adoption slows or regulatory environments tighten.The Competitors’ Countermoves
AWS continues to innovate at scale, expanding its already massive ecosystem with custom silicon, serverless technologies, and AI offerings. Google Cloud is doubling down on AI and data analytics with BigLake and Gemini LLM integration into Google Workspace. However, both players face challenges breaking into Microsoft’s stronghold in enterprise IT.The Analyst View
While UBS and Gartner highlight Azure’s momentum, some caution that its growth could taper as it matures. AWS remains dominant in absolute cloud share and among developers, but Azure’s deep enterprise integrations make it a strong strategic player.Conclusion: Is Azure’s Lead Sustainable?
Azure’s growth reflects Microsoft’s unique ecosystem advantage and its strategic positioning around AI and hybrid cloud. The future remains competitive, but Microsoft’s momentum in 2025 appears well-founded.Correction (May 5, 2025): This article was updated to correct an error in the earnings reference. The original article incorrectly cited Q3 FY24 and a 31% growth rate. The accurate reference is Q3 FY25, with Azure and other cloud services revenue growing by 33% year over year. We regret the error.
Source: Sherwood News Why is Azure smoking AWS and Google Cloud? UBS has some theories.
Microsoft Earnings Report: Q3 FY25 Earnings
Last edited: